Problems from the Van Nuys Sectional '97/Answers

Today's panelists: Sylvia Summers, Curt Hastings, Kent Hartman, Mike Shuster, David Milton, Rolf Kühn, and Grant Baze.
  1. IMPs, short matches, both vul

     S:K98xxx H:Q D:986 C:10xx

    Partner opens a 15-17 NT. What's your plan?


    SYLVIA
    transfer and invite. Bidding game is too much.
    CURT
    I'll not try for game unless either 2H: is doubled, or partner superaccepts simultaneously showing a doubleton in a minor. [Not an option. We were using the dreaded Walsh Relay without further methods. --J]
    KENT
    Transfer to 2S:. Looks like a non-problem. Will go to 4 opposite a superaccept.
    MIKE
    even vul, I don't think I want to stretch to game via Texas. It is close between transfering and bidding 3S: and just transferring. I really would like to hear a superaccept, then I'd feel confident about it. For game to make, partner needs a good fit. Let's say  S:QTx H:xxxx D:AKJx C:AQ and game is still not cold (although I'd like to be there). I think it is probably best to just transfer and hope for a super, otherwise pass. Short matches you don't have to stretch to game just because its red... if it is -2 (possibly doubled) that is the match right there... and don't kid yourself, if partner shows up with  S:xx H:KJ9 D:AKT9x C:Kxx you might well get doubled at 3S: (yes, I know it is 14 HCP, but we'd all open that hand 1NT) [Intelligent comment. I don't think we'll get doubled, because LHO will want to defend spades and he won't be able to doubled (partner'll run to NT) and RHO is under you. And, yes, I'd open that hand 1NT. I wouldn't accept game, though, even with the 2nd Curse of Scotland. --Jeff]
    DAVID
    I plan to transfer to 2S: and if partner bids only 2S:, invite with 3S:.
    ROLF
    Transfer to S: and pass 2S:. I see no problem.
    GRANT
    My plan is to transfer and pass. My feeling is this hand is too unlikely to make game to even invite. A transfer and raise should show a bad weak two bid. I would not open this a weak two, especially vulnerable. Of course, I will accept if partner super accepts.
    JEFF AT THE TABLE
    Transfer and raise
    CONSENSUS
    None. transfer and raise: 3, transfer and stop: 4
    JEFF UPON REFLECTION
    Transfer and stop. This isn't as close to an invitation as I thought. Mike's point about vul games' not being as good odds in short matches as in long is an important point. I thought that my hand would K&R evaluate to about 7.8, but it's only 5.6. On the other hand, I figured that if the H:Q had been in spades, I would have simply bid game, but K&R calls that only 7.6. Something's wrong: the queen in my six-card suit has to be worth more than 2 points more than in my singleton.
    WINNING ACTION
    bid game. Partner had a perfect 15-count and game rolled. When my hand hit the table, I said, "I overbid a bit." "You're insane." "You'll make four anyway." +170.

  2. IMPs, short matches, none vul

     S:Jx H:AK10x D:AK9x C:Qxx

    RHO YOU LHO CHO
    1S: Dbl 4S: Pass
    Pass?


    SYLVIA
    double.
    CURT
    Double again.
    KENT
    Pass. I have an ace more than I promised but uninteresting shape. Partner, with a presumed singleton or void in spades, took no action.
    MIKE
    I expect to beat 4S: 2 tricks, but double is dangerous. Partner might well have a stiff spade, in which case he isn't going to pass. [He'd better not bid with 1444 unless he has a good hand. Three-suiters play badly opposite three-suiters if the shortnesses are duplicated. --Jeff] I'm dubious about our chances at the 5-level (might need H:QJ onside - but will most likely be off 2 clubs and a spade) but we might make or they might make. I think I have to double, although deep down I think this is likely to convert +100 into -50. Maybe they'll bid 5S:. Good thing I was thinking about what I'd do over 4S: when LHO was thinking. [Another good point. Who'd expect this auction though? Partner has shortness and probably values and didn't act. Better still...the slo-o-o-w double is perfect. Partner will be less likely to pull, thinking some probably erroneous ethics stuff. --Jeff]
    DAVID
    I am going to double again. If partner has a stiff spade (about 50/50) and C:KJxxx with at least one red J we could be making 5C:. or Jxxxx of a red suit and C:KT we could make 5 of the red suit. If partner has a doubleton spade he should probably pass.
    ROLF
    Pass. 4S: XX = is 880, 4S: -1 only 50.
    GRANT
    Double. If they make we lose 5 IMP's. If they go down, we will gain some number depending upon how much they go down and the result at the other table. If partner pulls, he is likely to be right, which is the primary consideration.
    JEFF AT THE TABLE
    Double. I had more information, though; I was playing against known overbidders. Partner knew that too; we'd already picked up +800 and +500.
    CONSENSUS
    double
    WINNING ACTION
    pass, sort of. Partner had a 1444 rotten hand and bid over the 2nd double. They were going down, but we went for a number. Bidding with that shape and a bad hand is silly in my opinion, but I could have prevented it. The pass probably only costs 2 IMPs. They rate to go down 1 as the cards lay (partner was very weak) although they could manage to go down two on some lines.
    JEFF UPON REFLECTION
    no clue. At matchpoints, doubling is clear. It'll gain much more often than it'll lose. Problem is, most of the gains are 50->100 and 100->300, which is 2 or 5 IMPs. The losses are -420->-880 and +50->-500, much bigger swings. This is the other side of the coin as the first problem: because it's a short match, the odds are better for the double. I can live with either choice, but the better my partner, the more likely I'd double.

    After reading Grant's answer, I got to thinking: will it be necessary for me to double a second time to get partner to bid when it is right? I'm not sure. I still double. Most of the time, partner has nothing to think about and they are going down. Moreover, when he does bid, it's probably right.


  3. Matchpoints, both vul

     S:108xx H:K10 D:xxx C:1098x

    CHO RHO YOU LHO
    1NT PassPassDbl
    PassPass?

    1. No alerts. What do you do?
    2. You get to change your mind. After your action, RHO wakes up and says, "oh, we play DONT. Dbl is a single-suited hand." Now what?

    CURT
    you are screwed, but my preference is to use methods to scramble.
    MIKE
    I would probably pass and make them defend unless I was playing with a client. This isn't such a bad hand for NT.
    DAVID
    I would probably RDBL relaying to 2C:, with intention of passing unless RHO doubles. That will give them plenty of room to balance in a red suit and take me off the hook. I will have time to make another decision if LHO then balances with a double of 2C: and RHO passes.
    ROLF
    Pass. I don't see a good alternative.
    GRANT
    Pass. If the double is penalty, even though we are outgunned, the honor location will work in partner's favor, and running is a complete crapshoot.
    JEFF AT THE TABLE
    Pass. If everyone is balanced, I like that the values are sitting well for us. My spots'll work if we are playing without any long suits.


    CURT
    I would still scramble.
    KENT
    This looks grim. Pass. I have some spots, so let's declare 1N and hope for the best (which is probably -200 with imperfect defense!) [Yup. Or pretty much any defense. --Jeff]
    MIKE
    RHO is trying to job you. He has a balanced 15 count or somthing. You can't even rescue yourself by redoubling because LHO will think he is barred from pulling. Oh well. I pass. [She wasn't jobbing me. She just forgot her conventions. Again. We started the round with the director's explaining what happened when she forgot DONT last round. --Jeff]
    DAVID
    I would probably change my call to DIRECTOR PLEASE. I have a problem, because a RDBL of a DONT double says it is our hand, and I am not sure how to untangle this mess. [In the balancing chair? --Jeff]
    ROLF
    Pass. I don't see a good alternative.
    GRANT
    2C:. This is an entirely different kettle of fish. Now they have a tricksource, and the honor location is not going to be in partner's favor. I start with 2C:, in the hope LHO will bid his suit and let us off the hook, but if the doubling starts, and partner does not run somewhere, I will bid 2S:. It is a little tougher for the opponents to double us into game, even at matchpoints, unless they are looking right down our throat.
    JEFF AT THE TABLE
    2C: (clubs and a higher). If LHO has a suit to run and RHO has values (thus the pass), I suspect they'll figure out to lead hearts by trick 3. Moreover, if hearts are over my honor, we are getting butchered in 1NTx, so passing is taking a zero. Forget that; I have to do something. There's more reason than normal to suspect that hearts is their suit: RHO is probably 4333 to pass after a DONT double---IF she knew what was going on. If she really forgot her methods, these inferences might not work. Did she forget her system or the alert? In practice, the latter.
    CONSENSUS
    none
    WINNING ACTION
    act. Partner has D:AQJxx (and forgot to redouble to show it) and they will not defend 2D:, but bid 2H: + 3. 1NTx goes down.
    JEFF UPON REFLECTION
    I think I got this one right, not that it mattered. -140 wasn't a super score, either, and I didn't even manage to get that good a score. Phooey.

    Honest, I didn't see Grant's answers before writing mine.


  4. Matchpoints, favorable

     S:Kxxx H:Ax D:Qxxx C:QJx

    RHO YOU LHO CHO
    1H: 1NT*Dbl 2C:*
    2H: Pass4H: 4NT
    Dbl ?

    1NT showed a normal takeout double, but cannot be a huge hand; it cannot include strong jump overcalls or really monstrous other hands.

    2C: promised 5C: and tended to deny four spades.

    What is your call? What's your second choice?


    SYLVIA
    5D:. 2nd choice: pass
    CURT
    I think Pass is best here. Partner asked me to choose a minor. With equal length I'd always choose clubs (since we rate to be outgunned the 4-4 vs 5-4 fit argument doesnt apply, keeping control is more important), and with extra diamond length and equalish holdings I'd choose diamonds. So we are left with pass.
    KENT
    I'm confused. 2C: sounds non-constructive, though not broke. Is partner something like 3046 or 2056? A pass describes my hand almost perfectly. I have my original call. With 4 clubs, I'd bid 5C:. The auction hasn't altered my values other than mildly upgrading the soft minor cards. My second choice is 5D:.
    MIKE
    5C:. My second choice is XX getting partner to pick. I have a definate preference for clubs, as partner is only interested in playing diamonds opposite a 5 card or longer suit (he is almost certainly 6-4 or 7-5... with 6-5 he would have bid some large number of NT last time). Tempting for my second choice to also be 5C: though... it isn't particularly close.
    DAVID
    Finally, an easy one. I see three possible choices. PASS, 5C:, or 5D:. Partner obviously has the minors with longer clubs. I am not sure what is going on here, but I suspect that partner should have done something more aggressive the first time if he is bidding now. After all, If the double showed strength, his jump must be preemptive. If he had at least 6 clubs I would have expected to here at least a 3C: bid from him. Since I have promised support with my generic takeout, and I think that it should be obvious that partner has longer clubs, I think pass should say that I do not have at least a 2 card difference in suit length between the minors and let partner decide, since he knows what his shape is (I would hope). Also, if my minors are equal, I would bid 5C: myself.

    So I guess PASS is my first choice and 5 ClImonds is my second.
    [Yes, 3C: would have been preemptive. --Jeff]

    ROLF
    Partner showed 4-6 in the minors. I bid 5C:: I see no reason why it could be better to play the 4-4 fit in D:. Actually there is no 2nd choice.
    GRANT
    Pass is the first choice. Partner wants me to pick between clubs and diamonds. If I held longer or equal clubs, I would bid 5C:. So partner will know my minor suit shape, and can guess what to do as well as I. Since our object is to escape for 3 down, and it appears we have to choose between a 44 and a 53 fit, we want to choose as trumps the suit with the strongest honor concentration. 5D:. This is tough, and at first I leaned towards 5C:, because of honor location. However, if partner has four bad diamonds, we are almost certain to go for 800 no matter what suit we play. So we have to assume partner's diamond holding is reasonable; otherwise, nothing matters. [Right you are! --Jeff]
    JEFF AT THE TABLE
    5C:. 2nd choice: pass.
    CONSENSUS
    none
    JEFF UPON REFLECTION
    Something screwy is going on. Partner didn't jump the bidding last time yet has enough to save. How can that be? I see only a couple of reasons: (1) He wants to be doubled and is walking the dog. (2) He's erred. (3) He wants to describe his hand well. I think (3) is impossible. Is he 7-5? 7-4s just play the 7-3 fit and bid their max the first time. 6-4? (4) He's afraid of an offshape double. This partner knows I don't do that.

    The answer was (2) in practice, but that's irrelevant.

    OK, what's the difference between pass and redouble?

    I think the panel was split into two groups. Those who bid their hand just passed or bid 5D:, figuring that they had pretty much promised this. Those who tried to figure out what partner has went nuts.

    WINNING ACTION
    none. 5C: or 5D: is -800.

JEFF UPON FURTHER REFLECTION
I figured these were mostly going to be non-problems; I'd just get answers like
  1. 2H:. A psych. This must be a 10-12 NT, because vs. 15-17, transferring to spades is so obvious that my grandmother wouldn't see a problem.
  2. Only farmers double.
  3. You nuts or something? This is a NT hand.
  4. Who cares. I pass. Partner made this bed. Let him lie in it. He's probably psyched. Let him guess which action was the psych.

Surprisingly, there was considerable support for my nuttier actions. I am amazed. I actually think #4 is a real problem, but have no idea what partner should have. No enlightenment was forthcoming. Beyond that, there wasn't any great agreement about what to do. It just goes to show...


Jeff Goldsmith, jeff@tintin.jpl.nasa.gov, May 6, 1997