Today's Panelists: Michael Schreiber, David Weiss, Ed Davis, Adam Wildavsky, Brian Oxley, John Jones, Barry Rigal, Marshall Miles, Mike Shuster, Robb Gordon, Floyd McWilliams, Joel Wooldridge, David Caprera, Bobby Bodenheimer, Mark Bartusek
You are dealer.
The
xxx Jxxx Q10 KJxx | ||
KJxxx AQxxx K xx |
AQxx Kxx xx Q109x | |
x x AJ98xxxx Axx |
I was considering not including this problem, but the diversity of opinion on it justified its inclusion after the fact.
|
You | LHO | CHO | RHO |
| Dbl* | ||
? |
Dbl was reverse "I have a secret." It
promises a balanced hand roughly 10+ HCP
without their suits nutted.
There are two main camps. Camp 1: I have a weak NT. Passing shows a weak NT, so I have nothing to say, particularly with this soft crap.
About half the passers say they don't understand the convention.
I don't see why not, upon reflection. Partner has 10+ HCP balanced.
You are not in a force (balanced 10-counts can't require minimum
openers to reach the 3-level without a fit). Partner doesn't have
a long suit, and doesn't have a stack in one of their suits. This
is exactly the same hand he would have playing normal methods if
the auction had gone
He might have a doubleton spade, but it'll be a high honor doubleton so
that you can hit it with honor third. He might have four spades, but
they won't be AK10x, more like A632. Much of the time, he is 3-3
in the majors. Again, it's the same hand as in the standard auction:
You LHO CHO RHO Pass
Pass Pass Dbl
You LHO CHO RHO Dbl Pass
Pass Pass Dbl
So put me down for X if partner must have 3 spades, pass if he can have 2.
[I'll guess that's a pass. Partner could have, say,
A third of the group realizes that after a trump lead, they are not going to have a lot of tricks.
Barry and Mark hate their soft stuff for defense, so:
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I'm willing to concede that just describing the methods
as I did is insufficient. It's not obvious whether or not
a pass here should be forcing. I think it's obvious; how
else can you play
As far as the actual choice, however, I still think the panel got this one wrong. Double and lead trump is such an obvious win on this board that I don't see why anyone wouldn't do it. You just know they are getting massacred. If RHO were supersound and was more likely to have 6-5 than 5-5, perhaps passing is safer. I see a lot more 5-4s than 6-5s perpetrating Michaels, though, so I'm a hawk. Several panelists said, "if I knew more about the methods, I'd change my call" in later communication. (Mark Bartusek also suggested that in the given auction, dummy almost certainly can't be 6-5 or 5-6 as declarer would have bid differently. That'd make it even safer to double.)
About that "I Have a Secret." Ed Manfield published an article in the Bridge World called "I've Got a Secret" in which he describes what have become "standard" methods in auctions like this (though he focussed on 1x-(Dbl)-?). Double shows interest in crushing them and pass followed by a double shows a good balanced hand with no clear direction. I called the article "I Have a Secret" for two reasons. One is that the original name is simply a grammatical error. The other is that I have a new name for the reversed methods: "I Have a Secret...From Partner!"
Lynn Johannesen (once Mrs. Ed Manfield) adds: "'I've Got a Secret' wasn't exactly a grammatical error: it was an allusion to a once popular television show of the same name. No doubt Jeff (and most of the panelists on this list) are too young to remember the show. It revolved around a contestant who announced, 'My name is XXX XXXXX, and I've got a secret!' The contestants had to guess the secret to earn large money prizes. Eddie intended to imply that people who learned his secret would reap substantial rewards." [She's right, in a sense. I had never heard of the show. But I don't watch TV even today. --Jeff]
CHO | RHO | You | LHO |
? | |||
What's your plan? If you bid
The real problem was to pass
Partner | You |
| |
3NT | |
? |
Thus,
If pard rebids 4NT, I will pass, catering to
A few bid
|
RHO | You | LHO | CHO |
Pass | |||
? |
So I'll have to pretend that I was called in to replace the guy who
was deservedly struck by lightning after he put his stop card back in the
box. The auction seems to have come up much better than we deserve. Even
if partner is screwing around, always a possibility at favorable, I have a
great hand. I will try
The
4NT is better still. This should be 2 places to play, and since if partner bids clubs, I'm bidding diamonds, it'll be clear that I have very good diamonds with weakish hearts. I don't want to get to hearts if partner has long weak clubs and a diamond fit (or so I think).
Jx Q10x xxx AQxxx | ||
x KJxxxx x KJ109x |
9xx 9xx AQJ10987 | |
AKQxxx A Kx xxxx |
|
You | LHO | CHO | RHO |
Pass | Pass | Pass | |
? |
The
I have a grudging respect for anyone with enough daring to try
|