Useful Agreement
I am playing in a matchpoint club game. The field is OK, but nothing
special. No one is vulnerable, and RHO opens 2
in front
of the biggest hand I'll have this session.
AKQ94
AJ9
AQJ65
My choices are double and 4
, which we play as
clubs and hearts. I really don't want partner passing the
double, and I don't see our getting a good grip on the hand
if I start with one. Partner will bid 2NT, lebensohl, and
now what? 4
, on the other hand, at least gets my
suits into play. Partner won't expect quite this good a
hand, so if I decide to start with 4
, I think I'll
have to bid again. If partner bids 4
, which is
far and away most likely, I can bid 4
. If he
retreats to 5
, I'll have to hope he can make it.
He'll know, however, that one or two useful cards should
provide a slam. There is a danger that partner may pass
4
, but we just went over our agreement here; he is
not to pass unless he has no cover cards. That gets us
too high sometimes, but I feel OK trotting it out with
this good a hand. If he passes, 4
may well be
high enough.
I try 4
, and partner bids 4
as expected.
I planned on bidding 4
next, so I do. Partner
provides a nice surprise: He bids 5
. That is
encouraging; his having the
K means we don't
need much for a slam to be good. We might even have
a grand. I'm driving to slam, but just in case there
is a grand lurking, I try 5
. The auction has been
intricate so far, and it isn't about to get any easier,
because partner comes up with 5NT! Reviewing:
RHO | Me | LHO | CHO |
2 | 4 | Pass | 4 |
Pass | 4 | Pass | 5 |
Pass | 5 | Pass | 5NT |
Pass | ? | | |
What do I know? 5NT is a choice of slams, so partner must
have equal length in hearts and clubs. If he is 2-2, he
might not be so bullish about slam, and if he is 4-4, he'd
commit to hearts, the higher-scoring strain. So he must
be 3-3. If he had the
J, I think he'd force hearts,
so he must have three small hearts and the
K. And
another card. I think he is roughly
xxxx
xxx
Kxx
Kxx.
He may have the
Q or a spade piece, and he may have
the 10 in one of my suits. Obviously, a small slam is
enough right now; if partner has more (maybe the
A?),
he'll bid again, so I should assume we are choosing between
6
and 6
. 6
looks like a pretty good
spot; it'll take either 3-2 hearts or the diamond finesse.
The preempt means that neither is as likely as normal, but
I estimate that 6
will make about 75% of the time.
Partner may have the
10 or
10, either of
which will add a few percent. Is 6
better? Yes,
I can handle a 4-1 heart break if RHO is 6-1-4-2 by drawing
two rounds of trumps and ruffing a heart in dummy. It's hard
to estimate how likely that is, but I'll guess in the
neighborhood of 5-10%. Some of the time, the
Q
will be onside there, so maybe I'm getting 5% extra. But
RHO might misdefend with 6-1-3-3 if I cash one heart,
cross to dummy, and lead a heart. If he ruffs, I can
pitch one or two diamonds from dummy and ruff the third
round. That's maybe 5%, something like that. He might
not misdefend, but most club players would. Then again,
he has to be dealt that. Will the
10 help in
6
? I can try two rounds of hearts, and if they don't
break, I can try to play four rounds of clubs to pitch a diamond.
No, that won't work---LHO can ruff high and exit with a trump.
I'll need him to have four clubs, leaving RHO with two
singletons. That seems unlikely, so no, the
10
will only help me pick up stiff
J, unless somehow
I know that trumps are 4-1, which I don't think I can.
So 6
is a little more likely to make, but 6
outscores it. Will anyone else be in slam? I don't see
how unless partner has real extras. If 2
isn't
opened, the auction will start 1
-2
or
2
-2
. If the former, opener will make
slam tries, and responder will probably reject them,
particularly if he is 4-3-3-3. If the latter, they
have no chance to know if slam is any good, and if
they play Kokish, they aren't even going to know
that they have a real heart fit. Opener won't push,
having already opened 2
, and a key card-less
responder isn't going. All in all, I think we have
found one of the very few ways to get to slam, so I'm
going to bid the more likely one and not worry that
I might be outscored if someone bids 6
. Furthermore,
if partner were strong enough that he thinks others will
reach slam, maybe he'd pick hearts himself. I'm convinced.
I bid 6
, and all pass. I get the lead of the
J,
and dummy is almost exactly what I expected,
| Q932
853
K76
K94 | |
|  | |
|
AKQ94
AJ9
AQJ65 | |
RHO | Me | LHO | CHO |
2 | 4 | Pass | 4 |
Pass | 4 | Pass | 5 |
Pass | 5 | Pass | 5NT |
Pass | 6 | All Pass | |
| | | |
That opening lead sure looks like four or five of them.
I hope it's only four. I play low from dummy, and RHO
follows with the
2. What's the best line? I can
try leading hearts towards my hand twice using the
K
and the
K as entries. Then I can ruff the fourth
heart in dummy if RHO doesn't ruff. No, he can just
overruff and play a spade, and I won't even have
an entry to try the diamond finesse. I think I shall
go with the plan I made during the bidding. I cash the
trump ace and cross to the king. They each follow, but
the
10 has not appeared. I lead a heart from
dummy, hoping that RHO ruffs if he has the remaining
trump. After all, he probably has the
A and
might see an obvious beat by ruffing. No, he discards
a spade. It seems best to try to cash another heart now,
and when I do, it holds. It's clear sailing from here;
I ruff a heart, ruff a spade, draw trumps, and try the
diamond hook for an overtrick. I'm pleased to see it
fail; if anyone reaches 6
, they are probably
going down.
I check the traveler after the game and am pretty
surprised to see that not only did one other pair
reach 6
and go down, but another one found
6
and made it! That's pretty surprising;
maybe my reasoning wasn't so good and I just got
lucky.
Copyright © 2010 Jeff Goldsmith