Problems from the Palm Springs Regional 12/02

All set at IMPs, strong opposition.

Today's Panelists: David Caprera, Chris Willenken, Marshall Miles, David Weiss, Mike Shuster, John Jones, Joel Wooldridge

  1. both vul

     S:10xx H:KJxx D:9x C:AQxx

    LHO CHO RHO You
    1S: 2D: Pass?


    DAVIDC
    Double — responsive. Then you have to correct your [I thought of that, perfect other than the one flaw --Jeff] call of course. If partner were not barred, I might correct to 3D:. That would get all suits in play. But that plan does have an obvious complication and raises ethical issues as well, so I think I would start with 2S:, too good to pass, a raise or 2H: too likely to land in the wrong spot. It will be easy to pass partner's rebid of 3D: or 3NT; other rebids are not so easy to judge. I will raise 3H: (my partners never find such helpful bids), pass either 2NT or 3C:.
    CHRIS
    2S:. Clear.
    MARSHALL
    3D:. Too strong to pass, not strong enough to cue bid and strongly suggest partner bid 3NT with heart stopper.
    DAVIDW
    Pass, smoothly. I realize we could be missing something big, but the risk of going minus looms large. Perhaps I respect 5 or 6 IMP swings too much. My only viable alternative is a gentle raise to 3D:, which will get us to 4H: when it is right, or to 3NT when is it right or wrong.
    MIKE
    Pass. I hate it, but if I were to bid, I think 2NT is superior to 3D:, since there is some chance that it is correct positionally, and when both are wrong 3D: is more likely to be doubled. (That is one hell of a sentence!) Strange, but for most people this would be a run-of-the-mill responsive double had RHO raised. By the way, you have RHO and LHO reversed up top. [Whoops. --Jeff]
    JJ
    I make a responsive double; it's perfect on high cards and shape. If partner thinks that doubling him is for penalties and passes he'll probably make it!

    If I limit myself to legal calls, 3D: and 2H: are wrong on shape but fine on strength. Pass is wrong on strength (too strong). 2S: is wrong on shape and is agressive to boot. 2NT, the closest bid to correct strength and shape, is wrong on card location. I think it's close between pass and 3D: as to which would work out the most often. I favor pass at matchpoints, but this being vulnerable and IMPs, I'll try 3D:. 2S: is my 3rd choice; I don't like 2NT, 2H: or 3C: at all. All right Marshall, how would we bid this hand if playing transfer advances?

    JOEL
    Although I'm tempted to pass, since it's IMPs, I'm going to take a bid. I think that bidding 2S: is the best choice, since if partner bids clubs, hearts, or notrump, it leaves me well placed. I pass at matchpoints, BTW.
    JEFF AT THE TABLE
    2H:. I thought that was a bizarre choice, but it was duplicated at the other table, so I wanted to check if anyone else would perpetrate it.
    VOTES
    ActionVotes
    Pass1
    2H:1
    2S:3
    3D:2
    WINNING ACTION
    Anything but 2H: or an overbid. Partner has  S:x H:9xx D:AKxxxx C:KJx. 2H: heard ...2S:, 3H:, all pass. Wold found a super defense to beat it at my table; less inspired defense let it make at the other table. 3D: is easy.
    JEFF UPON REFLECTION
    I've never seen more votes for doubling your partner for any problem ever. And it is not even penalty! ...reminds me of a story. I was playing with a difficult partner in Schenectady many years ago. Partner was flirting with one of our opponents. He was slow at the best of times; with the distraction, we were falling way behind. The bidding had reached him. He went into the tank. One minute passed. Two minutes passed. "Carl, we really need to finish the hand." Three minutes passed. Four minutes passed. "Carl, please bid." Five minutes passed. Finally he doubled me.

    My original wonderment is upheld; no one seriously considered bidding 2H:. It's not a good bid. Given that several wanted to pass and several chose to cue, 3D: must be the consensus call, despite not having a plurality.

    Is it a good call, though? If partner bids 3NT, will he make it? Probably so...I have some entries and some tricks. If he has diamonds which will run after a finesse, a spade stop, and either the H:A or the C:K, we ought to have nine tricks. Let's see...that's roughly  S:Kx H:xxx D:AQJxxx C:Kx. He'd pass 3D: with that, but bid 3NT over 2S:. Or 2NT. I don't think I can pass that, so we'll get to 3NT. That's a perfect minimum, though...and it still needs diamonds breaking onside. The D:10 would be a nice addition. If he has  S:xx H:Axx D:AQJxxx C:Kx, we're pretty close to 5D:. If they don't manage a trump promotion... he'll need the D:10 this time. A stiff spade would help. OK, we are close enough to game that 2S: looks best to me.

  2. both vul

     S:8xxx H:10xxx D:AQ9x C:x

    CHO RHO You LHO
    1H: 1S: 2H: 3H:
    4C: 4D: ? 4S:
    PassPass?

    What do you do at your last two turns?


    DAVIDC
    I would have smashed 4D: and if partner still passes 4S:, I smash that too (lead my H: and play for the tap.) If RHO was being clever, I might regret it. I would have considered 3H: (because I am vulnerable) on my first round.
    CHRIS
    Double and double. I realize that partner likely has a spade void, but I have zero points in his suits, and my club misfit counterbalances my undisclosed fourth heart. I think that my double of 4D: denies a clearcut penalty double of 4S:, with which I would just pass 4D: and double 4S: later, so partner can bid over 4S: himself with the right hand.

    [I'd play the opposite. Double and double is really penalty. Pass and double is less clear. But see below. --Jeff]

    So passing then doubling 4S: is optional? That sounds like unilateral penalty to me. One of the two sequences has to depict an optional penalty double.

    [I wouldn't call it "optional," but different. If partner's O-to-D ratio is really high, he can pull. That won't ever happen; he bid 4C: to encourage me to make the decision over 4S:. He won't overrule me unless he has a slam try. --Jeff]

    MARSHALL
    Double 4D:, pass 4S:. Admit defense looks good when partner's side strength is in clubs, but too close to double. Might be influenced by knowing the hand.
    DAVIDW
    I bid 4NT at my second turn. With my fourth trump and with the diamond finesse marked, my hand is tremendous. Partner is more likely than not to be void in spades, and if he has as little as  S:H:AKQxxx D:xx C:AJxxx slam is excellent. Once I've asked for aces, my third turn decision is radically different from yours. [Yup. It'll be what order to place the suits as dummy in 5H:x --Jeff]
    MIKE
    Double. I would like partner to know that he shouldn't get in my way... because... Double. Opposite club stuff I want to defend. This could easily be sticks and wheels [So Mike (as I do) plays the pair of doubles to demand partner to pass. --Jeff]
    JJ
    On the first turn I've got a number of plausible but less than perfect calls in my bid box: 2H:, 3H:, 4H:, 2S: (limit raise) and 4D: (fitted jump). [Huh? 2H: isn't flawed at all. The others are. 3H: is an underbid if you are seriously considering a limit raise. 2S: is an overbid by the same reasoning. 4H: is too much, clearly. 4D: is a total misbid. Fitted jumps are good hands, not bad hands. --Jeff] I wouldn't pass or make a negative double. My choice would have been 4H:. I can certainly live with 2H: though. Given that auction, I would double 4D: to let partner know where my values lie, and to imply that I don't have a club fit. Given that I doubled (or even if I didn't) I double 4S:. No, I don't have a trump trick, but my cards rate to create a headache for declarer, plus pard probably a has a cashing club trick or two. I lead a heart, not a club. I'm looking to tap declarer. I'm guessing neither side is making 4S: or higher.
    JOEL
    I bid 4H: over 4D:. When 4S: comes around to me, I lay down da hamma!
    JEFF AT THE TABLE
    Double, double, boil and bubble. We have those Poles now! Good 4C: bid, Marshall!
    VOTES
    1st ?Votes
    Double6
    4H:1
    4NT1
    2nd ?Votes
    Double6
    Pass1
    N/A1
    WINNING ACTION
    Save. Dummy was horrifying:  S:J10x H:x D:Kx C:Axxxxxx. What was that D:K doing over there??? Clubs 7-1? Ack!!! I defended carefully to hold down the overberry...got a "nice play" from Balicki for it. As he chalked up +790.

    Partner held  S:H:AQJxxx D:10xx C:KQJx.

    JEFF UPON REFLECTION
    A few panelists think this hand has more potential than I do. It's a semi-balanced six-count. 4H: the first time, or a slam try now seems wild to me. I have a little in hand for 2H:, but that isn't so bad. I don't have to have a minimum everytime.

    Doubling 4S: is obvious. Whether or not to double 4D: is less obvious to me. Chris' point that he thinks double followed by double is optional has more merit upon reflection than I thought. Normally, when the opponents are in a force multiple doubles show stronger opinion about doubling, but this must be an exception, because when I double 4D:, partner might bid 5H: immediately just by knowing I have stuff in diamonds. In fact, he might have on the given hand. I think I would have. Does that mean we ought to double 4D: or not? I'm not sure...probably so, and we should hope that partner pulls with his actual hand, because we rate to make 5H:. Not this time, but it turns out to be a good save.

    Just as a clarification, "optional" is the wrong word. Doubling 4D: says you have diamond high cards and some length. Doubling 4S: says you have club shortness or (rarely) spade high cards. A single raise won't often have high cards in both their suits, so usually the double is club shortness, which increases partner's defensive potential. So, neither pair of actions is "optional" or "mandatory." Passing and doubling, however, is just about never getting pulled, because partner can never know to pull. But doubling and doubling can get pulled when the information so transmitted can tell partner to do the right thing. Curious.

  3. both vul

    SouthNorth
    1S: 2S:
    4S: Pass

    S: Kxx
    H: 10xxx
    D: Jxx
    C: Kxx
    S: x
    H: AJxx
    D: A8xx
    C: 108xx

    T1: C:Q-x-x-A
    T2: S:J-x-x-x
    T3: S:x-x-K-?

    What's your plan? Include your first two discards and whether you will win or duck when/if red suits are led from dummy.

    (Partner's spades are up-the-line.)


    DAVIDC
    (I don't quite understand the "two discard" question. Are you saying that trick 4 is another S:? Or is declarer leading a red suit from the cat then playing a S:?) [Neither. Some variations of the play will require you to make two discards. Some will require ducking or flying with a red ace. But for the most part, I just don't want to focus on the first discard. --Jeff]

    It looks like I can spare a club, and then I am guessing to pitch a diamond. I will duck a diamond but fly with the H:A and play a club.

    CHRIS
    I'll pitch a club on the first spade. If declarer leads a diamond, I'll duck; if he leads a heart, I'll win. If declarer continues to draw trump at trick four, I'll pitch a heart.
    MARSHALL
    Can't form a plan. Discard club and diamond. Would duck if diamond led, play ace if heart led.
    DAVIDW
    Firstly, I encourage in clubs. I hope to win two diamonds, one heart, and one club, although other permutations are possible. My two discards will be a club and a heart. I will grab the first heart led from dummy (to play a club). If instead declarer leads a diamond from dummy I will duck.
    MIKE
    I don't think partner is giving me a clever signal with his spade spots. [He isn't. He has Axxx, so he's following normally. --Jeff] We likely agreed that a trump echo would indicate an impending ruff and switching back and forth to suit preference based on what comes down in dummy would be a fairly tangled web. [It's usually easy enough to give suit preference in trumps when you know declarer is pulling all your trumps. That works well against 5-4 fits, in particular. --Jeff] My instinct is to grab the heart ace and duck the diamond ace. If dummy lacked the D:J we might have to duck our D:A twice. I'm going to hold onto all 4 diamonds and ditch 2 clubs. Maybe we'll score 1H:, 2D: and 1C:
    JJ
    I assume that I played an encouraging club at trick one. I'll discard a club here (on some variations I can't afford a tricky discouraging diamond (trying to get declarer with D:K10 and C:Axx to misguess). If declarer's next play is a diamond I'll duck, but if he leads a heart at trick 4 I'll fly ace.
    JOEL
    I'm going to pitch 1 discouraging diamond and 1 discouraging heart. I'm definitely ducking diamonds if those come off. If he has stiff K, so be it. However, the heart off is more interesting. If I duck, I'm protecting against something like  S:AQJxxx H:KQx D:Kx C:Ax. [Isn't 4S: cold on those cards? You're saving an overtrick only. --Jeff] That's a pretty normal 4S: bid. If I play the A, I'm protecting against something like  S:AQJxxx H:K D:QT9x C:Ax. [Again, 4S: is cold. --Jeff] That's a reasonable 4S: bid, but also aggressive. Playing the Ace would also be right against  S:AQJxxxx H:K D:QTx C:Ax. [Ditto. --Jeff] That's a better 4S: bid. Since declarer maybe would've bid 3NT on the first hand, I'm going to fly ace on a heart off the table. [Hmmm...give partner the S:Q in those six-card suits, and we have a way to beat 4S:. --Jeff]
    JEFF AT THE TABLE
    same as everyone else. I let go a club early and that was that.
    WINNING ACTION
    All the questions are mostly a smoke screen except for the discard problem. The key issue on the hand is that you cannot afford to discard a club. Declarer has  S:QJ109x H:KQ D:KQ9x C:Ax. He's tapped out if you save all your clubs, romps home otherwise. No one but Joel gave constructions for their play. And those were to hold down the overtrick. Odd. Who is willing to claim after this hand that count in the trump suit isn't helpful?
    JEFF UPON REFLECTION
    Only Joel held his clubs. He didn't mention that he was doing it to guard against declarer's having a 5-card trump suit. He was doing it to conceal his red aces. It didn't occur to me at the table that partner might have four trumps; no one here thought of it, either. I feel a little better.

    Everyone flew H:A but ducked the D:A. That's less clear than it seems. If declarer's hearts are KQx, ducking a heart causes a possible entry problem. I can't come up with a construction where that's critical, though.

    No one came up with a construction where their play was needed to beat the contract. No one. Wow. This is a pretty good group of panelists. If they are defending on instinct, this hand is too hard to get right at the table. Not surprisingly, it was a push. 4S: made at each table.

  4. favorable

     S:Qxx H:Jxxxxxx D:C:AJ9

    LHO CHO RHO You
    1NT Pass3NT ?


    DAVIDC
    No bid.
    CHRIS
    4H:. A guess. Could be a good save, could be a make. Could be -800 against air. [Dunno about air, but it could be against +100. I'd not expect them down more than one in 3NT, particularly with Balicki playing it and partner stroking a diamond. --Jeff]
    MARSHALL
    Pass. Don't know enough about the hand to do anything different, bidding is gambling on finding at least a mild heart fit. [I think bidding is gambling that 3NT is making and nothing else. It's real unlikely you are going down four in 4H:, and down three is a win if they are +600. --Jeff]
    DAVIDW
    I'm too old to bid in this random situation. I pass easily.
    MIKE
    [4H:] Truly nasty. We could easily be beating this even on a diamond lead while 4H: rates to go down 2 or 3. But I'm a bidder nonetheless, as this satisfies Woolsey's rule on saving at imps. There is a real chance that this will be a very good save.
    JJ
    I've been given this problem already. I know that it was wrong to bid 4H: on the actual hand, but I'm stubborn and would bid anyway. Too often its right to bid at the table with hands like this. CHO always leads my short suit, and even if the contract could have been beaten, I write down -630 or -660 on my scoresheet. Normally they make, while I can make at least 7 tricks in hearts. Against a weak declarer maybe I'd pass, but frequently this type of hand plays itself.
    JOEL
    Pass. I'm no hero.
    JEFF AT THE TABLE
    4H:. I had extra information, though. A wizard would be playing 3NT. Also, my teammates played K/S, so I couldn't hope for the same diamond lead against them; they rate to get to the game from the other side and/or after bidding lots of diamonds. Given that, I expect 3NT at our table to be even worse than it starts out. Therefore, if it is at all reasonable to save, I'm doing it; I can't expect a good result by passing.
    VOTES
    ActionVotes
    Pass4
    4H:4
    WINNING ACTION
    Pass. Partner has a disaster hand:  S:A10x H:10 D:K108xx C:10xxx. They didn't defend perfectly (how could they?) and I got out for -300, but 3NT went down at the other table, so we lost 9 IMPs. It would go down here, too, even on a diamond lead. Probably.
    JEFF UPON REFLECTION
    The panel describes this situation as "random," "a guess," and "truly nasty." They are split roughly 50/50 on what to do. I'd've thought that bidding 4H: was an unusual move, provoked in my case by factors beyond the scope of the problem. Not so. The panel mostly answered this as a matter of style or personality. Those who passed said, "I'm no hero," or "I'm too old." Those who bid say, "I'm a bidder," or "I'm stubborn." Note the use of the first person.

  5. unfavorable

     S:AJxx H:AQ D:Qxxxx C:AQ

    LHO CHO RHO You
    2D:* Pass2H:* ?

    2D: is multi. 2H: is pass or correct. If you double (takeout of hearts), partner bids 4C:. Then what?


    DAVIDC
    I bid 3NT the first time. (By the way, if I had doubled, did partner have lebensohl available to show values? [Yes. --Jeff] Should it be? [I think so. In any case, it's prescribed in the ACBL defense. --Jeff] In which case, 4C: is really clubs and my hand is worth a 4H: call.)
    CHRIS
    Double seems clear. I can always follow up with 3NT, but this way is more flexible, allowing for 4S:, slams, etc. I'd bid 3NT with a trick oriented hand, or one with less tolerance for the missing major.

    4H:. I'm assuming lebensohl applies and 3C: would have shown a good hand, so 4C: should be highly distributional and strongly invitational. I could easily have a slam, so I'll make a try.

    MARSHALL
    [Nothing about the first problem.] 5C:
    DAVIDW
    I would not have doubled, but would instead have bid 3NT. I might miss a slam, but I won't have to do much guessing. Admittedly, double did not have to work out so awkwardly; partner will usually bid at the three-level. I was worried more about a Lebensohl response of 2NT, which would wrong-side the 3NT I would have to bid. Given the present auction, my guess is to bid 4D:.
    MIKE
    Double is obvious. There is a lot of room between here and 3NT that I shouldn't have to shoot it out now. Partner has crossed me with the 4C: bid... he must hold something like C:KJTxxxx and not much else (maybe a queen) since with much more he'd bid 3C: and with C:KJ10xxx and an outside king, he would have just bid Lebensohl 3C:. Its unlucky that we can't get to NT anymore and we've wrongsided clubs, but 5C: must have some play, and that's what I'll do. Second choice is pass.
    JJ
    I know this one, too. I double, then barf while bidding 5C:. [If 5C: makes you barf, it'll be a messy time in Palm Springs when you see the dummy on Problem 2! --Jeff]
    JOEL
    I would double 2H:. Over 4C:, I'm having a little trouble placing a 4C: bid w/o a 6th club (since partner could've bid 3H: instead w/o a largely distributional hand), so I'm going to cue bid 4H: over that. I think I've got a pretty good hand, and it's time to show it.
    JEFF AT THE TABLE
    double, then 5C:. The latter decision seems pretty easy. It's the first one that is tough.
    VOTES
    1st ActionVotes
    Double5
    3NT2
    2nd ActionVotes
    4D:1
    4H:3
    5C:4
    WINNING ACTION
    Get to 5C:. Partner had  S:Q10x H:J10xx D:C:Kxxxxx. Clubs are 4-1, so 3NT looks hopeless, but 5C: probably makes.
    JEFF UPON REFLECTION
    The panel is strongly in favor of double vs. 3NT, which is what I thought was the interesting problem on the hand. Bidding after partner's 4C: was just miserable, but I figured everyone would bid 5C:.

    Is this hand worth a slam try over 4C:? It's a 19-count, so we have extras, but I don't think it is worth a slam try. We have only two trumps for partner when he's entitled to expect three or four. They are, however, pretty good ones. Our H:Q is no longer a valuable card (despite the actual hand). With those adjustments, I think we get down to having extras, but not a ton of them. If the diamonds were a likely source of tricks, say D:QJ109x, we would have enough for a slam try, but on the actual hand, 5C: seems sufficient.

    Yes, I know partner's 4C: was a huge overbid.

    As to 3NT vs. double, the panel is heavily in favor of doubling. It looks awfully close to me.

In case it wasn't obvious, the opponents on all these problems but one were Balicki/Zmudzinsky or Wold/Passell. As I said, "strong opposition."
Jeff Goldsmith, jeff@gg.caltech.edu, Dec. 25, 2002